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I really wish CBC would stop having their panel members talk over the people in the room – especially when both groups are mic'd up.

A nurse as Minister of Health! Imagine giving people jobs in line with the actual experience they bring to the table – whatever next?

Arielle Kayabaga, the new Minister for Democratic Institutions, is a 34-year-old Black woman. She came to Canada age 11 from Burundi as a refugee.

She previously worked in Sarnia as a settlement worker for newcomers to Canada.

I don't know about you, but in my family, Sarnia's where we go when someone dies.

I'm so afraid for the next election. Calling it early is a huge gamble. It's still very likely to be won by the Tories. The earlier PP gets his grubby non-security-clearance-holding hands on government, the more damage he'll let Krasnov do to Canada.

@clacksee whether it is now or in October, the risk is the same. The main advantage to calling it sooner than later is that the full pain of Trump's on-again/off-again tariffs has not yet been fully felt. I'm crossing my fingers that the current pro-Canada mood and defiance to the US is going to be enough to stop PP. But if the economy goes into the toilet, the incumbent party suffers, regardless of the cause.

@hfinyow
It's a risk either way.

On the one hand, polls are currently on the up for the Liberals, so they might be smart to call the election early to take advantage of the momentum.

On the other hand, the longer the Liberals are in office, the more they’ll be able to do to protect against Trump. So every extra day is a blessing.

@clacksee The problem with waiting is two-fold: 1) Carney doesn't have a seat, so cannot sit in cabinet or parliament, despite being sworn in as PM; 2) remember that both the NDP and Bloc have vowed to assist the CPC to take down the LPC government at the next available slot. Carney can legitimately say he's giving the opposition exactly what it wants. It will be harder for the CONs to frame it as a power grab like they did in 2021.

@hfinyow
1. It's feasible for a short period. John Turner did it.
2. The NDP have reversed course on that.

@clacksee AFAIK the NDP only backed off insofar as they would allow a vote on tariff relief but still wanted to see the govt fall. This is probably why their polling numbers are in free-fall.

@AlexanderVI @hfinyow
I've seen some polls that show them neck and neck. But the poll of polls still shows the Tories with an eight-point lead.

@clacksee @hfinyow popular vote or seat count?

Con heavy geographic concentration out west may be their Achilles Heel.

But I'm still on tenterhooks. Even a Con minority would be something of a win as I don't think ANY other party will be interested in working with them. And the Grits get first chance to form a government.

If PP gets a majority, we are well and truly f'ed, though.

@AlexanderVI @clacksee This gets to the so-called vote efficiency. The CONS actually had the higher percentage of the popular vote in 2021, but that was almost exclusively concentrated in AB and SK

@ryanexley
He won’t need long to ruin everything.